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Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology: Papers, Reports, and Presentations


Professional Team Demonstration Report:

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of Professional Team Demonstration Uncertainty/Sensitivity Analysis. (DemoUASA.pdf, 580KB, 49 pages, Sept 2001).

  • RIGHT Click here to download a copy of Professional Team Demonstration Uncertainty/Sensitivity Analysis: Appendix A. Latin Hypercube Sampling.(AppdixA.pdf, 48KB, 6 pages, Sept 2001).
  •  
  • RIGHT Click here to download a copy of Professional Team Demonstration Uncertainty/Sensitivity Analysis: Appendix B. Sensitivity Analysis Graphs.
  • (AppdixB.pdf, 1114KB, 26 pages, Sept 2001).
  •  
  • RIGHT Click here to download a copy of Professional Team Demonstration Uncertainty/Sensitivity Analysis: Appendix C. Uncertainty Analysis Graphs.
  • (AppdixC.pdf, 1070KB, 26 pages, Sept 2001).
  •  
  • RIGHT Click here to download a copy of Professional Team Demonstration Uncertainty/Sensitivity Analysis: Appendix D. Listing of References for
  • Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis. (AppdixD.pdf, 38KB, 8 pages, Sept 2001).

Journal Publications: (Click on article title to request a copy)

R. L. Iman, M. E. Johnson and T. A. Schroeder. "Assessing Hurricane Effects: Part 1 - Sensitivity Analysis." Reliability Engineering & Systems Analysis. 78, 131-145, (2002).

R. L. Iman, M. E. Johnson and T. A. Schroeder. "Assessing Hurricane Effects: Part 2 - Uncertainty Analysis." Reliability Engineering & Systems Analysis.  78, 147-155, (2002).

R. L. Iman, M. E. Johnson and C. E. Watson, Jr. "Sensitivity Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses." Risk Analysis.  25(5), 1277-1297, (2005).

R. L. Iman, M. E. Johnson and C. E. Watson, Jr. "Uncertainty Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses." Risk Analysis.  25(5), 1299-1312, (2005).

PowerPoint Presentations

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Demonstration Uncertainty/Sensitivity Analysis for Modeling Hurricane Effects. (fchlpm.zip, 1216KB, 71 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Wind Speed Contours. (Cat1wind.zip, 58KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Wind Speed Contours. (Cat5wind.zip, 55KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,-5) to
(180,-5) 
(Cat1SA1.zip,
372KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,-5) to
(180,-5) 
(Cat5SA1.zip,
335KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,0) to (180,0)  (Cat1SA2.zip, 375KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,0) to (180,0)  (Cat5SA2.zip, 338KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,5) to (180,5)  (Cat1SA3.zip, 357KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,5) to (180,5)  (Cat5SA3.zip, 331KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,10) to (180,10)  (Cat1SA4.zip, 343KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,10) to (180,10)  (Cat5SA4.zip, 309KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,15) to (180,15)  (Cat1SA5.zip, 320KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Sensitivity Analysis along the Path from (0,15) to (180,15)  (Cat5SA5.zip, 303KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,-5) to (180,-5)  (Cat1UA1.zip, 325KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,-5) to (180,-5)  (Cat5UA1.zip, 346KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,0) to (180,0)  (Cat1UA2.zip, 334KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,0) to (180,0)  (Cat5UA2.zip, 338KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,5) to (180,5)  (Cat1UA3.zip, 332KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,5) to (180,5)  (Cat5UA3.zip, 349KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,10) to (180,10)  (Cat1UA4.zip, 352KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,10) to (180,10)  (Cat5UA4.zip, 324KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 1 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,15) to (180,15)  (Cat1UA5.zip, 343KB, 13 slides)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of the October 15, 2001 presentation to the FCHLPM: Category 5 Uncertainty Analysis along the Path from (0,15) to (180,15)  (Cat5UA5.zip, 339KB, 13 slides)

Form F Input and Output:

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of Input Form F (InputFormF.zip, 29KB)

RIGHT Click here to download a copy of Output Form F (OutputFormF.zip, 141KB)